Sage Advice Municipal Quarterly Market Review 3Q2020

The tone of the municipal market did a 180-degree turn in the third quarter, as yield and spread volatility trended lower and seasonal demand, once again, provided firm support. The ongoing and pressing economic concerns related to the Covid-19 shutdown remain ever present; however, investors’ desire for income generation seemingly outweighs any potential credit concerns. During these volatile and uncertain times, Sage remains focused on maximum risk-adjusted income, stable principle valuations, and a high degree of liquidity. Current market conditions warrant patience and prudence when deploying funds as valuations are not broadly reflective of the ongoing fiscal challenges.

Sage Advice Municipal Quarterly Market Review 2Q2020

Market conditions warrant patience and prudence when deploying funds as valuations are not broadly reflective of the ongoing fiscal challenges. Sage’s long-duration tilt has gradually been reduced and will be rebalanced when swap opportunities become available. Sage maintains a bullet tilt to our curve structure, due to the steep yield curve and the Fed’s ongoing support of front-end yields. Strong seasonal influences and modest new issue supply will provide a supportive backdrop to current yield and spread levels. With a higher probability of industry-wide downgrades over the coming year, sector allocation and rebalancing will remain focused on stable-to-improving sectors, including both general obligation and essential service revenue bonds rated A2 and higher. During these volatile and uncertain times, Sage remains focused on principal preservation, improving liquidity, and stable tax-free income generation.

Sage Seizes Opportunities in the Muni Bond Market

June 10, 2020 — During the month of March, solid AAA municipal credits were trading at distressed levels as mutual funds and other institutions were forced to liquidate to raise cash for withdrawals. The municipal to Treasury yield ratio (M/T ratio) diverged from its long-term average, reaching levels not seen since 2009. At its peak, AAA municipal bonds were trading at 2,100% or 21.0x the yield of comparable Treasuries. Prudent investors with cash and rational foresight were able to take advantage of once-in-a-decade, if not lifetime, opportunities to put money to work at deeply discounted levels.

Keeping Score of Sage’s Municipal Success

For those keeping score, Sage has once again successfully navigated these challenging times for our clients. The positive outcome is a testament to our investment process that remains consistent, regardless of market limitations or influences. A core tenant that has saved our clients from irreparable principal loss despite market dislocations has been Sage’s approach to optimizing fundamental credit strength along with current market valuations.

Sage Advice Municipal Quarterly Market Review 1Q2020

With a higher probability of industry-wide downgrades over the coming year, sector allocation and rebalancing will remain focused on stable-to-improving sectors, including both general obligation and essential service revenue bonds rated A2 and higher. During these volatile and uncertain times, Sage remains focused on principal preservation, improving liquidity, and stable tax-free income generation.

Municipal Fixed Income Strategies Overview

Whether it is an insurance company or individual investor, we understand that our clients don’t invest simply to beat a market benchmark, or outperform other people’s money. They invest because they have a specific purpose, or utility, for their investments. We build custom municipal strategies designed to help our institutional and individual clients efficiently accomplish their unique goals and objectives.